Data Loading...
Proyect statistical data of the pandemic (1) Flipbook PDF
Proyect statistical data of the pandemic (1)
106 Views
62 Downloads
FLIP PDF 529.21KB
INTERDISCIPLINARY PROJECT
Model of real situations of Newton's second law with statistical data of the pandemic in Ecuador
ARMED FORCES EDUCATIONAL UNIT βCMDTE. CΓSAR ENDARA PEΓAHERRERA
INTERDISCIPLINARY PROJECT PHYSICS, MATHEMATICS AND ENGLISH
TOPIC: Model of real situations of Newton's second law with statistical data of the pandemic in Ecuador
QUESTION: How, by modeling the functions, do you help us determine the confirmed cases with PCR tests in Ecuador from August 2020 to August 2021, with projection to December 2021?
CADET:
NEPTALI JOSUE YAGUANA ORQUERA
COURSE:
1ST FGI "A"
TEACHERS: LIC. JORGE MACHADO LIC. LIDA PACHECO
MAYO 2022
The presence of covid-19, represents a problem of global interest, both in health and economically because the pandemic crisis has affected several sectors of the country, one of them the economy where an increase in the unemployment rate has been observed, as well as a considerable drop in income for business.
Although we have vaccines, it is especially worrying to developing countries because if there is no proper administration and distribution of vaccines that are applied to people, there may be cases of corruption, as well as there is a concern in people about the return to work normally.
The predictions of this pandemic are encouraging, if you become aware, the acceleration of people to have a vaccination and a booster of this same there may be fewer cases of infection and with this decreases the cases of deceased people.
Supported by the figures obtained in this research, the modeling of the functions with the equation of Newton's second law is developed (πΉ(π) = ππ πππ π(π‘) = ππ‘) and thus make the prediction until 25/12/2021.
https://www.elcomercio.com/tendencias/sociedad/covid-ecuador-infectados-cifras-contagios.html Updated September 14, 2021
Date
Total cases
Difference of cases
(specific day)
Cases to graph
(confirmadas PCR)
18-08-2020
93 985
0
0
18-09-2020
124 129
30 144
30 144
18-10-2020
153 289
123 145
153 289
18-11-2020
182 250
59 105
212 394
18-12-2020
205 003
145 898
358 292
18-01-2021
231 644
85 746
444 038
18-02-2021
269 860
184 114
628 152
18-03-2021
307 429
123 315
751 467
18-04-2021
360 546
237 231
988 698
18-05-2021
411 466
174 235
1 162 933
18-06-2021
444 395
270 160
1 433 093
18-07-2021
476 065
205 905
1 638 998
18-08-2021
496 642
290 737
1 929 735
Table 1. Infections confirmed with PCR
π=
βπΆ βπ‘
π=
πΆ2 β πΆ1 π‘1 β π‘2
π=
1929735 β 0 12 β 0
π = 160.811,25//
π(π‘) βπ‘ π(π‘) = ππ‘ π(π‘) = 160.811,25 π/ππππ β π‘
πΆ18/12/2021 = 160.811,25 π/ππππ β π‘ πΆ18/12/2021 = 160.811,25 π/ππππ β 16 ππππ πΆ2
18/12/2021
= 2.575.980π
We can conclude that once the statistics of confirmed cases of covid-19 have been made and the projections for the end of 2021 have been made, the data are a bit out of reality, because although people like the government in recent months have increased the speed of immunization so that the majority of the people are vaccinated, they have also taken strict measures with regard to agglomerations. With the data obtained, it was possible to make approximations at the end of 2021, likewise it was possible to know and observe more thoroughly how the country was a year ago with the chasm of infections that hospitals did not have more space for those infected, then it can be said that the data obtained are of great help because it teaches us the infections by Covid-19. The research did not help to delve into the central issue, since the sources from which the data was obtained did not help to make the statistics correctly, likewise these sources are reliable and true because they show us the confirmed cases from a specific date and in this way be able to obtain the 18th of each month in a year. The results obtained allowed us to observe the cases confirmed by PCR on the 18th of each month from 2020 to 2021, which gave us a vision of howpeople infected by covid-19 were used and also how this harmed the Ecuadorian population in all areas. With what has been observed, it can be concluded that people in our country did not comply with the orders imposed on them by the government for their own good and for this reason there were
increases in positive cases because people were disobedient and left their homes or crowded into meetings. The projection for 18/12/2021 will be 2.575.980 of total cases, which is a bit difficult to believe because if we mention some factors such as accelerated vaccination by then most of the country already had its 2nd dose placed, also for that month there are important dates where the government has to apply strict rules so that covid-19 cases do not increase again in the country. That there is a relationship between the cases calculated by me and the cases shown by the COE since there is not much difference in the statistics, but it does differ in the approximations by the end of 2021. Conclusions ο·
To conclude, it is essential to make calculations and approximations to know in the future the cases of covid-19 and if it is on the right track or if it is bad, where these problems can be solved by imposing rules that benefit the stabilization of citizens.
ο·
The handling of mathematical formulas and calculations are of utmost importance when drawing general statistics on a relevant topic as in the case of those infected.
Suggestion ο·
It is important to remain calm at all times if we are presented with a positive case of covid19 within our homes for this we must help in what we can so that that person feels better and does not stress and go to greater complications.
ο·
Lead a healthy life better the physical and mental state so when we are presented with a threat like covid-19 we can fight it calmly.
Bibliography Commerce, E. (June 1, 2021). Obtained from El Comercio: https://www.elcomercio.com/tendencias/sociedad/covid-ecuador-infectados-cifras-contagios.html Press. (April 21, 2020). Obtained from https://www.cepal.org/es/comunicados/pandemia-covid-19-llevarala-mayor-contraccion-la-actividad-economica-la-historia-la